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Senate

AllTrumpMidtermsGlobal ElectionsGov ShutdownEpsteinTexas SenatePrimariesChinaBrazilHungary ElectionSlovenia ElectionColombia ElectionGerman ElectionsVenezuelaCourtsUS ElectionTrade WarCongressMayoral ElectionsCabinetSenateIsraelCanada
All1.6KTrump290Midterms546Global Elections128Gov Shutdown6Epstein24Texas Senate6Primaries183China38Brazil15Hungary Election7Slovenia Election2Colombia Election6German Elections4Venezuela31Courts21US Election149Trade War8Congress41Mayoral Elections10Cabinet8Senate7Israel74Canada28

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

53%

YesNo

Republican Party

49%

YesNo

$4.3M Vol.

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

18%

chance

Yes

No

$1.6M Vol.

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

October 31<1%December 31<1%March 31, 2026<1%

$560.7K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$177.0K Vol.

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune

45%

YesNo

Chuck Schumer

31%

YesNo
+ 8 more

$155.5K Vol.

John Fetterman out by...?

September 301%December 314%

$65.5K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Texas

84%

YesNo

Alaska

69%

YesNo
+ 16 more

$62.1K Vol.

Closest Senate Race?

Texas

15%

YesNo

Iowa

14%

YesNo
+ 14 more

$39.7K Vol.

How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?

2

46%

YesNo

3

29%

YesNo
+ 5 more

$28.4K Vol.

Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?

September 308%October 3140%November 3043%

$19.8K Vol.

Closest Governor's Race?

Alaska

15%

YesNo

Ohio

14%

YesNo
+ 16 more

$18.2K Vol.

Government shutdown by October 1?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$15.3K Vol.

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

November 2, 20267%December 31, 202611%Between Nov. 3 and Jan. 3 12PM<1%

$11.2K Vol.

Graham Platner divorce by October 31?

5%

chance

Yes

No

$7.6K Vol.

Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?

93%

chance

Yes

No

$7.3K Vol.

Graham Platner charged by...?

August 31<1%December 3154%

$3.9K Vol.

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Michigan

56%

YesNo

Maine

14%

YesNo
+ 4 more

$3.8K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Ohio (Special)

53%

YesNo

Nebraska

45%

YesNo
+ 14 more

$3.0K Vol.

Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?

58%

chance

Yes

No

$2.7K Vol.

Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?

President

66%

YesNo

Senate

34%

YesNo
+ 1 more

$2.6K Vol.

Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$1.2K Vol.

Which party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?

Republican Party

95%

YesNo

Democratic Party

6%

YesNo

$1.0K Vol.

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

38%

chance

Yes

No

$953 Vol.

Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026?

Republican Party

57%

YesNo

Democratic Party

27%

YesNo

$718 Vol.

Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

August 31<1%September 1540%September 3043%

$526 Vol.

Which party will win the Minnesota State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

84%

YesNo

Republican Party

17%

YesNo

$453 Vol.

Which party will win the Maine State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

93%

YesNo

Republican Party

9%

YesNo

$418 Vol.

Which party will win the Wisconsin State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

76%

YesNo

Republican Party

17%

YesNo

$397 Vol.

Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?

Republican Party

42%

YesNo

Democratic Party

34%

YesNo

$370 Vol.

Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?

September 3017%October 3149%November 3051%

$0 Vol.