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BetaPoly is a demonstration prediction-markets frontend that fetches public data from Polymarket. Trading on BetaPoly uses virtual BetaPoints only: no real money, wallets, or crypto are involved. Powered by the Polymarket public APIs. Operated by the BetaSouls team.

Politics

AllTrumpMidtermsGlobal ElectionsGov ShutdownEpsteinTexas SenatePrimariesChinaBrazilHungary ElectionSlovenia ElectionColombia ElectionGerman ElectionsVenezuelaCourtsUS ElectionTrade WarCongressMayoral ElectionsCabinetSenateIsraelCanada
All1.6KTrump290Midterms546Global Elections128Gov Shutdown6Epstein24Texas Senate6Primaries183China38Brazil15Hungary Election7Slovenia Election2Colombia Election6German Elections4Venezuela31Courts21US Election149Trade War8Congress41Mayoral Elections10Cabinet8Senate7Israel74Canada28

2026 Midterms
Predictions

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

18%

YesNo

Jon Ossoff

16%

YesNo
+ 49 more

$1276.8M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

24%

YesNo

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

13%

YesNo
+ 50 more

$704.5M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

51%

YesNo

Marco Rubio

19%

YesNo
+ 40 more

$703.5M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed

98%

YesNo

Gedion Timothewos

1%

YesNo
+ 6 more

$285.8M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro

50%

YesNo

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

49%

YesNo
+ 17 more

$148.8M Vol.

Fed Decision in September?

25 bps increase

79%

YesNo

No change

21%

YesNo
+ 3 more

$136.7M Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

35%

YesNo

Édouard Philippe

28%

YesNo
+ 39 more

$132.8M Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%May 31<1%

$124.3M Vol.

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro

84%

YesNo

Delcy Rodríguez

13%

YesNo
+ 14 more

$96.1M Vol.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%May 31<1%

$67.0M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%

chance

Yes

No

$65.8M Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$41.2M Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra

95%

YesNo

Steve Hilton

5%

YesNo
+ 21 more

$41.0M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei

85%

YesNo

No Head of State

5%

YesNo
+ 28 more

$39.4M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

50%

YesNo

Benjamin Netanyahu

28%

YesNo
+ 17 more

$37.2M Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$35.4M Vol.

Israel closes its airspace by...?

May 8<1%May 24<1%May 31<1%

$30.3M Vol.

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

April 30<1%May 31<1%June 30<1%

$29.3M Vol.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

July 14<1%July 24<1%July 31<1%

$27.8M Vol.

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)

79%

YesNo

New People (NL)

17%

YesNo
+ 6 more

$27.2M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

8%

chance

Yes

No

$25.8M Vol.

Iran leadership change by...?

March 13<1%March 31<1%April 30<1%

$25.2M Vol.

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Save the Children

8%

YesNo

Yulia Navalnaya

8%

YesNo
+ 29 more

$23.8M Vol.

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

July 31, 2026<1%August 31, 2026<1%September 30, 20261%

$23.7M Vol.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

April 30<1%May 31<1%June 30<1%

$17.9M Vol.

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

20%

chance

Yes

No

$15.2M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 31, 2025<1%January 31<1%March 31<1%

$14.2M Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass

66%

YesNo

Nithya Raman

32%

YesNo

$13.6M Vol.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%May 31<1%

$13.5M Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$11.8M Vol.