Brazil - BetaPoly

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

19%

+ 16 more

$6.9M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Augusto Cury

55%

Renan Santos

38%

+ 17 more

$1.1M Vol.

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Flavio Bolsonaro

97%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

96%

$598.5K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Eduardo Paes

84%

Douglas Ruas

13%

+ 14 more

$468.4K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Lula da Silva <5%

39%

Lula da Silva 5-10%

21%

$452.8K Vol.

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

Cleitinho Azevedo

86%

Patrus Ananias

6%

+ 15 more

$393.6K Vol.

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

Tarcísio de Freitas

99%

Fernando Haddad

1%

$310.2K Vol.

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

PL

84%

MDB

9%

+ 10 more

$297.6K Vol.

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$233.9K Vol.

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ciro Gomes

61%

Elmano de Freitas

40%

+ 4 more

$227.8K Vol.

Paraná Governor Election Winner

Sergio Moro

83%

Sandro Alex

14%

$153.3K Vol.

Bahia Governor Election Winner

Jerônimo Rodrigues

56%

ACM Neto

43%

+ 5 more

$148.7K Vol.

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

25 bps decrease

98%

No Change

2%

$143.9K Vol.

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

Jorginho Mello

97%

Marcelo Brigadeiro

1%

$121.7K Vol.

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

PL

69%

UPB

30%

+ 13 more

$111.5K Vol.

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49%

45%

4.50-4.99%

40%

+ 8 more

$108.1K Vol.

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Luciano Zucco

55%

Juliana Brizola

32%

$102.8K Vol.

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$90.2K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

Lula

78%

Flavio Bolsonaro

23%

$76.3K Vol.

Maranhão Governor Election Winner

Eduardo Braide

75%

Orleans Brandão

25%

+ 4 more

$76.0K Vol.

Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place

Nicoletti

31%

Teresa Surita

22%

$66.1K Vol.

Paraíba Governor Election Winner

Lucas Ribeiro

81%

Efraim Filho

14%

$62.5K Vol.

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

35%

chance

Yes

No

$58.9K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place

Marcelo Crivella

34%

Pedro Paulo

24%

+ 14 more

$55.3K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás

Flavio Bolsonaro

93%

Ronaldo Caiado

5%

$54.8K Vol.

Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place

Esperidião Amin

30%

Carlos Bolsonaro

24%

$54.4K Vol.

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

PL

90%

UNIÃO

3%

+ 10 more

$53.0K Vol.

Piauí Governor Election Winner

Rafael Fonteles

99%

Dra. Lúcia Santos

<1%

$52.9K Vol.

Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place

Teresa Surita

45%

Nicoletti

41%

$51.9K Vol.

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place

Marília Campos

54%

Aécio Neves

20%

+ 16 more

$51.8K Vol.

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

Domingos Sávio

25%

Marília Campos

20%

+ 16 more

$49.5K Vol.

São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place

Simone Tebet

36%

André do Prado

32%

+ 12 more

$49.4K Vol.

Pernambuco Governor Election Winner

Raquel Lyra

69%

João Campos

32%

+ 1 more

$48.7K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place

Benedita da Silva

56%

Carlos Jordy

14%

+ 14 more

$48.5K Vol.

São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place

Guilherme Derrite

60%

Marina Silva

19%

+ 12 more

$44.3K Vol.

Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place

Julio Cesar

39%

Marcelo Castro

33%

+ 18 more

$43.9K Vol.

Pará Governor Election Winner

Hana Ghassan

55%

Dr. Daniel Santos

42%

+ 5 more

$42.5K Vol.

Paraná Senate Election: 1st Place

Deltan Dallagnol

41%

Filipe Barros

33%

$41.7K Vol.

Acre Senate Election: 2nd Place

Marcio Bittar

44%

Mara Rocha

31%

$41.0K Vol.

Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place

Leila do Vôlei

58%

Bia Kicis

28%

$40.7K Vol.

Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner

Ricardo Ferraço

65%

Lorenzo Pazolini

33%

$40.2K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraíba

Lula

97%

Escritor Augusto Cury

1%

$40.0K Vol.

Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place

Marcelo Castro

53%

Ciro Nogueira

30%

+ 18 more

$39.7K Vol.

Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place

Sergio Meneguelli

42%

Fabiano Contarato

31%

$39.4K Vol.

Acre Senate Election: 1st Place

Marcio Bittar

43%

Mara Rocha

26%

$38.9K Vol.

Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place

Dr. Fernando Máximo

55%

Sílvia Cristina

34%

+ 8 more

$38.1K Vol.

Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place

Eduardo Braga

81%

Capitão Alberto Neto

13%

$37.8K Vol.

Acre Governor Election Winner

Alan Rick

61%

Mailza Assis

39%

+ 4 more

$37.2K Vol.

Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place

Manuela D'Ávila

35%

Sanderson

18%

$36.6K Vol.

Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place

Gustavo Gayer

65%

Vanderlan Cardoso

11%

$36.6K Vol.

Ceará Senate Election: 2nd Place

Luizianne

38%

Capitão Wagner

36%

$36.5K Vol.

Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place

Weverton Rocha

34%

Lahesio Bonfim

28%

$35.0K Vol.

Goiás Governor Election Winner

Daniel Vilela

97%

Marconi Perillo

2%

$35.0K Vol.

Bahia Senate Election: 2nd Place

Jaques Wagner

55%

Rui Costa

17%

+ 8 more

$34.3K Vol.

Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place

Rayssa Furlan

87%

Randolfe

6%

$33.9K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

Flavio Bolsonaro

93%

Lula

7%

$33.3K Vol.

Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place

Gaguim

45%

Alexandre Guimarães

40%

$33.2K Vol.

Paraná Senate Election: 2nd Place

Alexandre Curi

32%

Filipe Barros

31%

$33.2K Vol.

Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place

Delegado André David

41%

Rogerio Carvalho

28%