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Israel

AllTrumpMidtermsGlobal ElectionsGov ShutdownEpsteinTexas SenatePrimariesChinaBrazilHungary ElectionSlovenia ElectionColombia ElectionGerman ElectionsVenezuelaCourtsUS ElectionTrade WarCongressMayoral ElectionsCabinetSenateIsraelCanada
All1.6KTrump290Midterms546Global Elections128Gov Shutdown6Epstein24Texas Senate6Primaries183China38Brazil15Hungary Election7Slovenia Election2Colombia Election6German Elections4Venezuela31Courts21US Election149Trade War8Congress41Mayoral Elections10Cabinet8Senate7Israel74Canada28

Netanyahu out by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%May 31<1%

$124.3M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%

chance

Yes

No

$65.8M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

50%

YesNo

Benjamin Netanyahu

28%

YesNo
+ 17 more

$37.2M Vol.

Israel closes its airspace by...?

May 8<1%May 24<1%May 31<1%

$30.3M Vol.

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18100%July 20100%July 22100%

$29.7M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

8%

chance

Yes

No

$25.8M Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

January 31<1%February 28<1%March 31<1%

$21.9M Vol.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

April 30<1%May 31<1%June 30<1%

$8.4M Vol.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%December 312%

$7.8M Vol.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

4

86%

YesNo

6

6%

YesNo
+ 10 more

$7.4M Vol.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

March 13<1%March 16<1%March 31<1%

$7.1M Vol.

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

October 31<1%November 7<1%November 30<1%

$4.1M Vol.

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

November 30<1%December 31<1%February 28, 2026<1%

$3.7M Vol.

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

June 30, 2026<1%December 31, 20267%

$3.5M Vol.

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%December 3110%

$3.1M Vol.

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

October 31<1%November 30<1%December 31<1%

$2.9M Vol.

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

December 31, 2025<1%June 30, 2026<1%December 31, 20269%

$2.1M Vol.

Iran coup attempt by...?

June 30<1%December 3110%

$2.1M Vol.

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%May 31<1%

$1.7M Vol.

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Lebanon

9%

YesNo

Somaliland

8%

YesNo
+ 10 more

$1.6M Vol.

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

June 15<1%June 30<1%July 31<1%

$1.4M Vol.

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

March 31<1%April 30<1%June 30<1%

$1.1M Vol.

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

December 31<1%March 31, 2026<1%April 30, 2026<1%

$944.1K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Lebanon

10%

YesNo

Venezuela

9%

YesNo
+ 14 more

$775.5K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Belgium

17%

YesNo

Italy

12%

YesNo
+ 9 more

$758.8K Vol.

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

June 30<1% October 31<1%December 31<1%

$757.3K Vol.

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

August 31<1%September 9<1%September 11<1%

$570.5K Vol.

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?<1%June 30, 2026<1%December 31, 20267%

$534.1K Vol.

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

June 30<1%December 318%

$484.2K Vol.

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

September 3100%September 4100%September 5100%

$481.3K Vol.

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

May 31<1%June 7<1%June 30<1%

$457.6K Vol.

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

9%

chance

Yes

No

$435.3K Vol.

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

13%

chance

Yes

No

$417.2K Vol.

Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?

July 31<1%August 31<1%September 3095%

$416.7K Vol.

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

July 14<1%July 21<1%July 31<1%

$365.5K Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

9%

chance

Yes

No

$305.8K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar

62%

YesNo

Likud

39%

YesNo
+ 4 more

$302.8K Vol.

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

6%

chance

Yes

No

$238.4K Vol.

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

5%

chance

Yes

No

$212.6K Vol.

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

July 14<1%July 21<1%July 31<1%

$198.4K Vol.

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$194.4K Vol.

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?

July 31<1%September 302%

$187.5K Vol.

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$185.9K Vol.

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

July 17<1%July 24<1%July 31<1%

$184.4K Vol.

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

May 31<1%June 7<1%June 30<1%

$169.5K Vol.

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

June 30<1%December 3112%

$142.2K Vol.

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

May 31<1%June 30<1%July 31<1%

$139.3K Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-24

41%

YesNo

25-29

28%

YesNo
+ 3 more

$139.2K Vol.

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

June 30<1%December 316%

$119.4K Vol.

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

May 31<1%June 7<1%June 30<1%

$102.8K Vol.

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

13%

chance

Yes

No

$99.5K Vol.

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

July 31<1%August 31<1%September 303%

$98.1K Vol.

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

5%

chance

Yes

No

$90.9K Vol.

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

June 30<1%December 3188%

$72.9K Vol.

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

6%

chance

Yes

No

$70.4K Vol.

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

39%

chance

Yes

No

$54.3K Vol.

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

April 17<1%April 30<1%June 30<1%

$53.7K Vol.

Israel military action against Syria by...?

August 31<1%September 1511%September 3018%

$48.8K Vol.

How many Israeli elections before government formed?

1

63%

YesNo

2

30%

YesNo
+ 4 more

$41.1K Vol.

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

No Endorsement

72%

YesNo

Likud

30%

YesNo
+ 12 more

$39.7K Vol.