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BetaPoly is a demonstration prediction-markets frontend that fetches public data from Polymarket. Trading on BetaPoly uses virtual BetaPoints only: no real money, wallets, or crypto are involved. Powered by the Polymarket public APIs. Operated by the BetaSouls team.

Weather

All177
Temperature
Precipitation5Global9Tornadoes2Hurricanes6Earthquakes15Volcanoes2Pandemics8

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$17.1M Vol.

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

↑500

100%

YesNo

↑1k

100%

YesNo

$7.8M Vol.

Daily

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

2

55%

YesNo

1

44%

YesNo

$3.2M Vol.

Daily

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

14–16

48%

YesNo

17–19

27%

YesNo

$1.4M Vol.

Daily

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

0

69%

YesNo

1

18%

YesNo

$1.2M Vol.

Daily

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$728.1K Vol.

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$675.3K Vol.

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

23%

chance

Yes

No

$334.7K Vol.

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

27%

chance

Yes

No

$311.2K Vol.

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 27?

28°C

100%

YesNo

25°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$309.4K Vol.

Daily

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

8%

chance

Yes

No

$257.0K Vol.

Natural Disaster in 2026?

22%

chance

Yes

No

$228.0K Vol.

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

12%

chance

Yes

No

$178.5K Vol.

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

95%

chance

Yes

No

$147.3K Vol.

Highest temperature in London on July 27?

27°C

97%

YesNo

28°C

3%

YesNo

$143.8K Vol.

Daily

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

12%

chance

Yes

No

$138.0K Vol.

Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 27?

34°C

100%

YesNo

28°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$131.2K Vol.

Daily

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

6%

chance

Yes

No

$129.1K Vol.

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$122.3K Vol.

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest

88%

YesNo

3rd hottest

8%

YesNo

$117.7K Vol.

Daily

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$115.8K Vol.

Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 27?

17°C

100%

YesNo

12°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$100.1K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Ankara on July 27?

28°C

100%

YesNo

29°C

<1%

YesNo

$96.1K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Paris on July 27?

27°C

94%

YesNo

28°C

4%

YesNo

$95.8K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in NYC on July 27?

84-85°F

74%

YesNo

86-87°F

23%

YesNo

$93.1K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 27?

32°C

100%

YesNo

33°C

<1%

YesNo

$89.7K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Munich on July 27?

25°C

100%

YesNo

26°C

<1%

YesNo

$83.1K Vol.

Daily

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

1250+

89%

YesNo

1200–1249

5%

YesNo

$79.7K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Madrid on July 27?

35°C

100%

YesNo

36°C

<1%

YesNo

$78.8K Vol.

Daily

Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in July?

≥90 mph

100%

YesNo

≥95 mph

100%

YesNo

$76.0K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 27?

23°C

100%

YesNo

25°C

<1%

YesNo

$75.3K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Chicago on July 27?

84-85°F

58%

YesNo

92-93°F

22%

YesNo

$66.0K Vol.

Daily

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

<4m sq km

19%

YesNo

4.4-4.6m sq km

17%

YesNo

$64.1K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Taipei on July 27?

35°C

100%

YesNo

29°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$62.8K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 28?

29°C

45%

YesNo

30°C

23%

YesNo

$59.6K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Wellington on July 28?

12°C

77%

YesNo

11°C

14%

YesNo

$57.6K Vol.

Daily

Measles cases in U.S. by July 31?

2200

100%

YesNo

2300

100%

YesNo

$55.9K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 27?

90-91°F

36%

YesNo

92-93°F

32%

YesNo

$55.7K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Moscow on July 27?

22°C or higher

100%

YesNo

12°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$50.6K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 28?

34°C

45%

YesNo

33°C

39%

YesNo

$48.6K Vol.

Daily

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC

87%

YesNo

1.15–1.19ºC

7%

YesNo

$48.5K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Toronto on July 27?

29°C

70%

YesNo

30°C

17%

YesNo

$47.7K Vol.

Daily

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

600mm+

100%

YesNo

<400mm

<1%

YesNo

$45.6K Vol.

Daily

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 27?

25°C

100%

YesNo

23°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$44.0K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 27?

80-81°F

48%

YesNo

78-79°F

38%

YesNo

$43.3K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Seoul on July 28?

31°C

42%

YesNo

30°C

34%

YesNo

$43.2K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 27?

21°C

100%

YesNo

22°C

2%

YesNo

$39.3K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 27?

40°C or higher

100%

YesNo

30°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$39.3K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Milan on July 27?

33°C

100%

YesNo

34°C

<1%

YesNo

$39.0K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Miami on July 27?

90-91°F

75%

YesNo

92-93°F

24%

YesNo

$37.9K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 27?

32°C

100%

YesNo

28°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$37.8K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Dallas on July 27?

100-101°F

63%

YesNo

98-99°F

18%

YesNo

$36.8K Vol.

Daily

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

1800+

100%

YesNo

2000+

100%

YesNo

$35.4K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Beijing on July 28?

35°C

40%

YesNo

34°C

34%

YesNo

$34.3K Vol.

Daily

Precipitation in NYC in July?

5-6"

54%

YesNo

4-5"

28%

YesNo

$34.2K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 28?

40°C or higher

40%

YesNo

39°C

31%

YesNo

$34.1K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Munich on July 28?

28°C

52%

YesNo

29°C

36%

YesNo

$33.1K Vol.

Daily

AI data center in space by...?

December 31, 2027

25%

YesNo

December 31, 2026

3%

YesNo

$32.4K Vol.

Daily

Megaquake by July 31?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$32.2K Vol.

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

9

99%

YesNo

≤8

<1%

YesNo

$32.1K Vol.

Daily