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Canada

All Trump Midterms Global Elections Gov Shutdown Epstein Texas Senate Primaries China Brazil Hungary Election Slovenia Election Colombia Election German Elections Venezuela Courts US Election Trade War Congress Mayoral Elections Cabinet Senate Israel Canada

All1.6K Trump290 Midterms546 Global Elections128 Gov Shutdown6 Epstein24 Texas Senate6 Primaries183 China38 Brazil15 Hungary Election7 Slovenia Election2 Colombia Election6 German Elections4 Venezuela31 Courts21 US Election149 Trade War8 Congress41 Mayoral Elections10 Cabinet8 Senate7 Israel74 Canada28

Will Alberta join the US?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$2.2M Vol.

Quebec General Election Winner

PQ

71%

CAQ

16%

$699.0K Vol.

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

10%

chance

Yes

No

$246.2K Vol.

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

11%

chance

Yes

No

$154.6K Vol.

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

William Azaroff

32%

Ken Sim

24%

$145.9K Vol.

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow

78%

Brad Bradford

19%

$111.9K Vol.

Another Canada election called by...?

June 30, 2026<1%December 31, 20265%

$92.1K Vol.

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

68%

Christine Fréchette

22%

$81.3K Vol.

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

Mark Sutcliffe

58%

Alex Lawson

23%

$57.0K Vol.

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

June 30, 2026<1%December 31, 202646%

$44.8K Vol.

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

25%

chance

Yes

No

$44.4K Vol.

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

2.0–2.4%

34%

3.0-3.4%

26%

$20.6K Vol.

Bank of Canada Decision in September?

No Change

91%

25 bps increase

7%

$20.3K Vol.

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

27%

chance

Yes

No

$17.3K Vol.

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

↑1.45

63%

↓1.33

54%

$14.1K Vol.

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

8%

chance

Yes

No

$9.4K Vol.

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

No Change

97%

25 bps increase

2%

$8.5K Vol.

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$8.0K Vol.

USMCA extended in 2026?

34%

chance

Yes

No

$4.3K Vol.

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

22%

chance

Yes

No

$4.1K Vol.

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

16%

chance

Yes

No

$3.6K Vol.

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

20%

chance

Yes

No

$2.1K Vol.

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

85%

chance

Yes

No

$1.8K Vol.

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$1.2K Vol.