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Congress

AllTrumpMidtermsGlobal ElectionsGov ShutdownEpsteinTexas SenatePrimariesChinaBrazilHungary ElectionSlovenia ElectionColombia ElectionGerman ElectionsVenezuelaCourtsUS ElectionTrade WarCongressMayoral ElectionsCabinetSenateIsraelCanada
All1.6KTrump290Midterms546Global Elections128Gov Shutdown6Epstein24Texas Senate6Primaries183China38Brazil15Hungary Election7Slovenia Election2Colombia Election6German Elections4Venezuela31Courts21US Election149Trade War8Congress41Mayoral Elections10Cabinet8Senate7Israel74Canada28

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

53%

YesNo

Republican Party

49%

YesNo

$4.3M Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47

30%

YesNo

48

16%

YesNo
+ 9 more

$2.9M Vol.

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

18%

chance

Yes

No

$1.6M Vol.

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

October 31<1%December 31<1%March 31, 2026<1%

$560.7K Vol.

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

Not Extended & Democratic Party

87%

YesNo

Not Extended & Republican Party

14%

YesNo

$405.4K Vol.

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Shutdown & Democratic Party

86%

YesNo

Shutdown & Republican Party

14%

YesNo

$336.7K Vol.

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$191.4K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$177.0K Vol.

Which bills will become law in 2026?

AI-chip export licensing

51%

YesNo

Data center utility cost protection

49%

YesNo
+ 11 more

$164.5K Vol.

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune

45%

YesNo

Chuck Schumer

31%

YesNo
+ 8 more

$155.5K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 8-10%

28%

YesNo

Democrats 6-8%

22%

YesNo
+ 11 more

$133.1K Vol.

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

December 31, 2025<1%March 31, 2026<1%June 30, 2026<1%

$118.0K Vol.

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

69%

chance

Yes

No

$102.1K Vol.

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

4-6

97%

YesNo

7-9

3%

YesNo

$96.7K Vol.

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

3

97%

YesNo

4

<1%

YesNo

$76.6K Vol.

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Rand Paul

48%

YesNo

Andy Kim

46%

YesNo
+ 13 more

$70.3K Vol.

Blue wave in 2026?

79%

chance

Yes

No

$67.3K Vol.

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

10-12

86%

YesNo

13-15

9%

YesNo
+ 1 more

$51.3K Vol.

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

June 30<1%November 23%

$38.1K Vol.

Blue tsunami in 2026?

43%

chance

Yes

No

$33.3K Vol.

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

0

100%

YesNo

1

1%

YesNo

$30.6K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

125-130m

23%

YesNo

120-125m

19%

YesNo
+ 9 more

$28.2K Vol.

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$22.7K Vol.

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$22.6K Vol.

Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?

11%

chance

Yes

No

$20.0K Vol.

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

10%

chance

Yes

No

$19.8K Vol.

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Above 50

46%

YesNo

Above 60

39%

YesNo
+ 6 more

$17.7K Vol.

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

July 30<1%September 303%December 3122%

$16.2K Vol.

Government shutdown by October 1?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$15.3K Vol.

Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$15.0K Vol.

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

20%

chance

Yes

No

$7.3K Vol.

Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?

37%

chance

Yes

No

$5.3K Vol.

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Hakeem Jeffries

74%

YesNo

Mike Johnson

12%

YesNo
+ 4 more

$3.9K Vol.

Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

July 30<1%September 305%December 3134%

$3.8K Vol.

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

38%

chance

Yes

No

$953 Vol.