Congress

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47

24%

Yes No

49

14%

Yes No

+ 9 more

$2.7M Vol.

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

30%

chance

Yes

No

$921.9K Vol.

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

October 31<1%December 31<1%March 31, 2026<1%

$560.5K Vol.

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

Not Extended & Democratic Party

81%

Yes No

Not Extended & Republican Party

19%

Yes No

$402.8K Vol.

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Shutdown & Democratic Party

86%

Yes No

Shutdown & Republican Party

13%

Yes No

$329.0K Vol.

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

9%

chance

Yes

No

$178.9K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

6%

chance

Yes

No

$165.8K Vol.

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune

48%

Yes No

Chuck Schumer

40%

Yes No

+ 8 more

$145.8K Vol.

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Data center utility cost protection

43%

Yes No

DEFIANCE Act

38%

Yes No

+ 11 more

$145.2K Vol.

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

December 31, 2025<1%March 31, 2026<1%June 30, 2026<1%

$115.4K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 8-10%

33%

Yes No

Democrats 10-12%

18%

Yes No

+ 11 more

$110.5K Vol.

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

7

53%

Yes No

11

30%

Yes No

+ 7 more

$95.5K Vol.

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

66%

chance

Yes

No

$72.3K Vol.

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

4-6

79%

Yes No

>15

20%

Yes No

+ 4 more

$67.9K Vol.

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

36–39

66%

Yes No

40–43

6%

Yes No

+ 5 more

$64.9K Vol.

Blue wave in 2026?

75%

chance

Yes

No

$52.9K Vol.

Trump signs housing bill by end of July?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$44.3K Vol.

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

20–23

32%

Yes No

24–27

26%

Yes No

+ 5 more

$34.7K Vol.

Blue tsunami in 2026?

45%

chance

Yes

No

$30.4K Vol.

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

June 30<1%November 223%

$30.3K Vol.

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

2

74%

Yes No

3

18%

Yes No

+ 4 more

$30.0K Vol.

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

5%

chance

Yes

No

$19.4K Vol.

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

12%

chance

Yes

No

$19.2K Vol.

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

23%

chance

Yes

No

$17.3K Vol.

Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

8%

chance

Yes

No

$14.5K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

105-110m

21%

Yes No

115-120m

16%

Yes No

+ 9 more

$11.4K Vol.

Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence

Thom Tillis

97%

Yes No

Dan Sullivan

85%

Yes No

+ 8 more

$9.5K Vol.

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

0

60%

Yes No

1

38%

Yes No

+ 4 more

$7.1K Vol.

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

Aisha Wahab

94%

Yes No

Melissa Hernandez

2%

Yes No

+ 5 more

$6.8K Vol.

Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

Thom Tillis

88%

Yes No

Rand Paul

85%

Yes No

+ 8 more

$5.6K Vol.

Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?

17%

chance

Yes

No

$5.2K Vol.

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

10-12

41%

Yes No

13-15

39%

Yes No

+ 4 more

$2.9K Vol.

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

July 303%September 309%December 3120%

$2.9K Vol.

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Hakeem Jeffries

77%

Yes No

Mike Johnson

16%

Yes No

+ 4 more

$2.3K Vol.

Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

July 303%September 309%December 3150%

$2.0K Vol.

Government shutdown by October 1?

47%

chance

Yes

No

$932 Vol.

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

76%

chance

Yes

No

$392 Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Congress

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

Trump signs housing bill by end of July?

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Government shutdown by October 1?

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?