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Showing 30 of 30 loaded markets

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom19%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%
Jon Ossoff14%
$1248.4M Vol.128 markets

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
J.D. Vance43%
Marco Rubio27%
$681.6M Vol.128 markets

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance20%
Marco Rubio12%
Gavin Newsom12%
$672.0M Vol.128 markets

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed96%
Gedion Timothewos2%
Alesa Mengesha1%
$235.4M Vol.33 markets

Netanyahu out by...?

December 3133%
July 310%
May 310%
$123.8M Vol.6 markets

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen32%
Édouard Philippe26%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
$116.3M Vol.128 markets

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva64%
Flávio Bolsonaro24%
Renan Santos9%
$116.2M Vol.32 markets

Fed Decision in July?

No change71%
25 bps increase28%
50+ bps increase1%
$104.6M Vol.5 markets

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro82%
Delcy Rodríguez10%
María Corina Machado3%
$94.5M Vol.57 markets

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 316%
September 303%
April 300%
$63.6M Vol.6 markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

23%
chance
$48.7M Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra93%
Steve Hilton6%
Chad Bianco0%
$40.4M Vol.45 markets

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%
chance
$39.2M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei79%
No Head of State6%
Reza Pahlavi3%
$35.2M Vol.123 markets

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

4%
chance
$35.1M Vol.

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot52%
Benjamin Netanyahu35%
Naftali Bennett7%
$30.2M Vol.28 markets

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 3113%
September 306%
July 310%
$28.8M Vol.7 markets

Israel closes its airspace by...?

August 3126%
August 1520%
July 314%
$25.1M Vol.18 markets

What will happen before GTA VI?

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire100%
Drake releases Iceman100%
New Rihanna Album51%
$23.5M Vol.10 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

9%
chance
$23.2M Vol.

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia Navalnaya11%
UNRWA8%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy7%
$23.0M Vol.71 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

0%
chance
$21.4M Vol.

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 202737%
December 3121%
September 3010%
$21.0M Vol.10 markets

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202716%
December 31, 20269%
September 30, 20264%
$18.8M Vol.5 markets

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 3113%
October 317%
August 313%
$17.5M Vol.7 markets

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)57%
New People (NL)34%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)5%
$16.3M Vol.34 markets

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 315%
December 31, 20250%
March 310%
$14.2M Vol.4 markets

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass63%
Nithya Raman38%
Rick Caruso0%
$13.0M Vol.15 markets

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

5%
chance
$11.7M Vol.

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

7%
chance
$10.5M Vol.