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Showing 30 of 30 loaded markets

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

August 316%
July 311%
June 240%
$67.5M Vol.8 markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

22%
chance
$48.7M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei79%
No Head of State6%
Reza Pahlavi3%
$35.3M Vol.123 markets

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 3113%
September 307%
July 310%
$28.8M Vol.7 markets

Israel closes its airspace by...?

August 3126%
August 1520%
July 314%
$25.1M Vol.18 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

9%
chance
$23.2M Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 316%
June 300%
January 310%
$21.7M Vol.7 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

0%
chance
$21.4M Vol.

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 202737%
December 3121%
September 3010%
$21.0M Vol.10 markets

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 3113%
October 316%
August 313%
$17.5M Vol.7 markets

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

July 311%
April 220%
April 300%
$12.1M Vol.6 markets

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

5%
chance
$11.7M Vol.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3133%
September 3016%
August 317%
$11.3M Vol.7 markets

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

July 310%
April 260%
May 310%
$10.0M Vol.5 markets

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18100%
July 20100%
July 22100%
$9.8M Vol.16 markets

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

August 156%
July 311%
June 260%
$8.4M Vol.8 markets

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3124%
September 3016%
August 318%
$8.4M Vol.10 markets

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 3112%
September 306%
August 313%
$8.1M Vol.7 markets

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 315%
March 310%
April 300%
$7.7M Vol.3 markets

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

August 3154%
August 1538%
August 730%
$7.4M Vol.8 markets

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

449%
534%
69%
$7.4M Vol.16 markets

Iran full airspace closure by...?

December 3160%
September 3041%
August 3130%
$6.6M Vol.10 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

56%
chance
$6.1M Vol.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3122%
September 3012%
August 317%
$6.0M Vol.14 markets

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)

August 3170%
August 1464%
July 3154%
$4.7M Vol.5 markets

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?

July 31100%
August 31100%
August 15100%
$4.1M Vol.6 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

August 3113%
August 154%
$3.4M Vol.2 markets

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Switzerland26%
Pakistan20%
No Meeting by September 3018%
$3.2M Vol.19 markets

Iran military action against a gulf state on...?

July 9100%
July 12100%
July 14100%
$2.4M Vol.23 markets

Crude Oil all time high by...?

December 3113%
September 306%
May 310%
$2.1M Vol.4 markets