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Showing 30 of 30 loaded markets

Netanyahu out by...?

December 3133%
July 310%
May 310%
$123.8M Vol.6 markets

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro82%
Delcy Rodríguez10%
María Corina Machado3%
$94.5M Vol.57 markets

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

August 316%
July 311%
June 240%
$67.5M Vol.8 markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

23%
chance
$48.7M Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%
chance
$39.2M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei80%
No Head of State6%
Reza Pahlavi3%
$35.2M Vol.123 markets

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot52%
Benjamin Netanyahu35%
Naftali Bennett7%
$30.2M Vol.28 markets

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 3113%
September 306%
July 310%
$28.8M Vol.7 markets

Israel closes its airspace by...?

August 3126%
August 1520%
July 314%
$25.1M Vol.18 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

9%
chance
$23.2M Vol.

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia Navalnaya11%
UNRWA8%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy7%
$23.0M Vol.71 markets

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 316%
June 300%
January 310%
$21.7M Vol.7 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

0%
chance
$21.4M Vol.

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 202737%
December 3121%
September 3010%
$21.0M Vol.10 markets

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202716%
December 31, 20269%
September 30, 20264%
$18.8M Vol.5 markets

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 3113%
October 316%
August 313%
$17.5M Vol.7 markets

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 315%
December 31, 20250%
March 310%
$14.2M Vol.4 markets

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

July 311%
April 220%
April 300%
$12.1M Vol.6 markets

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

5%
chance
$11.7M Vol.

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

5%
chance
$11.6M Vol.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3132%
September 3016%
August 317%
$11.3M Vol.7 markets

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

7%
chance
$10.5M Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

8%
chance
$10.3M Vol.

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

July 310%
April 260%
May 310%
$10.0M Vol.5 markets

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18100%
July 20100%
July 22100%
$9.8M Vol.16 markets

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

December 31, 202692%
September 30, 202677%
August 31, 202660%
$8.4M Vol.16 markets

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

August 156%
July 311%
June 260%
$8.4M Vol.8 markets

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3124%
September 3016%
August 319%
$8.4M Vol.10 markets

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 3112%
September 306%
August 313%
$8.1M Vol.7 markets

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 315%
March 310%
April 300%
$7.7M Vol.3 markets