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Showing 30 of 30 loaded markets

Netanyahu out by...?

December 3154%
May 310%
July 310%
$124.3M Vol.6 markets

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro84%
Delcy Rodríguez13%
María Corina Machado1%
$96.1M Vol.57 markets

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 318%
September 301%
July 310%
$73.2M Vol.10 markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%
chance
$65.8M Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%
chance
$41.2M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei85%
No Head of State5%
Reza Pahlavi3%
$39.4M Vol.123 markets

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot50%
Benjamin Netanyahu28%
Naftali Bennett8%
$37.2M Vol.28 markets

Israel closes its airspace by...?

September 3098%
May 80%
May 310%
$30.3M Vol.19 markets

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18100%
July 20100%
July 22100%
$29.7M Vol.24 markets

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 316%
September 301%
April 300%
$29.3M Vol.8 markets

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3166%
October 3141%
September 3023%
$27.8M Vol.20 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

8%
chance
$25.8M Vol.

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 202728%
December 3114%
November 309%
$25.2M Vol.14 markets

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Save the Children8%
Yulia Navalnaya8%
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms6%
$23.8M Vol.71 markets

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202713%
December 31, 20267%
September 30, 20261%
$23.7M Vol.5 markets

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 315%
June 300%
January 310%
$21.9M Vol.7 markets

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 317%
October 312%
May 310%
$17.9M Vol.7 markets

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3111%
November 305%
October 312%
$17.5M Vol.9 markets

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 313%
December 31, 20250%
March 310%
$14.2M Vol.4 markets

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3124%
October 3114%
September 308%
$13.5M Vol.12 markets

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

4%
chance
$13.2M Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

2%
chance
$11.8M Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

6%
chance
$11.5M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

21%
chance
$11.5M Vol.

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

March 31, 202757%
December 31, 202638%
October 31, 202621%
$11.1M Vol.12 markets

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

7%
chance
$10.6M Vol.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 316%
September 301%
April 300%
$8.4M Vol.7 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

2%
chance
$8.4M Vol.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 312%
March 310%
April 300%
$7.8M Vol.3 markets

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 202769%
November 30, 202767%
October 31, 202766%
$7.5M Vol.18 markets