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Showing 30 of 30 loaded markets

Fed Decision in July?

No change71%
25 bps increase28%
50+ bps increase1%
$104.6M Vol.5 markets

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)85%
1 (25 bps)10%
2 (50 bps)3%
$45.2M Vol.13 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

0%
chance
$21.4M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

55%
chance
$6.1M Vol.

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA51%
Apple36%
Alphabet11%
$4.8M Vol.28 markets

Fed rate hike in 2026?

78%
chance
$4.8M Vol.

Largest Company end of July?

Apple69%
Company A50%
Company B50%
$4.7M Vol.29 markets

Fed Decision in September?

25 bps increase55%
No change42%
25 bps decrease4%
$4.5M Vol.5 markets

Fed rate cut by...?

December Meeting16%
October Meeting8%
September Meeting4%
$3.0M Vol.8 markets

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↓ 3.5%100%
↑ 4.25%41%
↓ 3.25%12%
$1.7M Vol.21 markets

US recession by end of 2026?

13%
chance
$1.7M Vol.

Fed rate hike by...?

October Meeting68%
September Meeting66%
July Meeting26%
$1.7M Vol.5 markets

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 3%100%
Above 4%100%
Above 3.5%100%
$1.3M Vol.8 markets

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

3%
chance
$1.0M Vol.

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Pause–Pause–Pause71%
Other28%
Pause–Pause–Cut1%
$904.4K Vol.9 markets

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

4.0–5.0%87%
5.0–6.0%11%
3.0–4.0%2%
$800.9K Vol.10 markets

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Tim Cook - Apple100%
Andy Jassy - Amazon10%
Sam Altman - OpenAI10%
$709.1K Vol.6 markets

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Other63%
Pause–Pause–Pause38%
Pause–Pause–Cut2%
$596.8K Vol.9 markets

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Other67%
Pause–Pause–Pause31%
Pause–Pause–Cut3%
$549.5K Vol.9 markets

2nd Largest Company end of July?

NVIDIA68%
Company A50%
Company B50%
$496.9K Vol.29 markets

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5.0%12%
6.0%8%
5.5%7%
$469.8K Vol.5 markets

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

December 3140%
July 312%
April 300%
$423.7K Vol.4 markets

Fed Decision in October?

No change61%
25 bps increase24%
25 bps decrease10%
$353.1K Vol.5 markets

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

No change99%
25 bps increase1%
50+ bps increase0%
$339.5K Vol.5 markets

3rd Largest Company end of July?

Alphabet97%
Company A50%
Company B50%
$320.4K Vol.29 markets

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.5%100%
4.6%100%
4.4%100%
$259.9K Vol.10 markets

Largest Company end of August?

Company A50%
Company B50%
Company C50%
$223.3K Vol.29 markets

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

4.0%100%
3.8%13%
3.7%12%
$221.7K Vol.9 markets

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

1m100%
1.1m84%
1.2m53%
$175.0K Vol.8 markets

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

25 bps decrease87%
No Change11%
50+ bps decrease1%
$166.3K Vol.5 markets