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Showing 30 of 30 loaded markets

Fed Decision in September?

25 bps increase79%
No change21%
50+ bps increase1%
$136.9M Vol.5 markets

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)93%
1 (25 bps)4%
2 (50 bps)1%
$52.3M Vol.13 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

21%
chance
$11.5M Vol.

Fed rate hike in 2026?

89%
chance
$9.1M Vol.

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA75%
Apple18%
Alphabet7%
$7.2M Vol.28 markets

Fed rate cut by...?

December Meeting7%
October Meeting3%
September Meeting0%
$3.5M Vol.8 markets

Fed rate hike by...?

October Meeting85%
September Meeting79%
April Meeting0%
$3.2M Vol.5 markets

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↓ 3.5%100%
↑ 4.25%46%
↑ 4.5%16%
$1.8M Vol.21 markets

Fed Decision in October?

No change62%
25 bps increase38%
25 bps decrease2%
$1.8M Vol.5 markets

US recession by end of 2026?

7%
chance
$1.7M Vol.

Largest Company end of September?

NVIDIA95%
Company F50%
Company G50%
$1.6M Vol.25 markets

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 3%100%
Above 4%100%
Above 3.5%100%
$1.4M Vol.8 markets

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

2%
chance
$1.1M Vol.

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

4.0–5.0%90%
5.0–6.0%6%
3.0–4.0%1%
$900.1K Vol.10 markets

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Other79%
Pause–Pause–Pause20%
Pause–Pause–Cut0%
$863.2K Vol.9 markets

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

25 bps increase98%
No change1%
50+ bps increase1%
$758.5K Vol.5 markets

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Other85%
Pause–Pause–Pause11%
Pause–Pause–Cut2%
$758.3K Vol.9 markets

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Tim Cook - Apple100%
Andy Jassy - Amazon7%
Sundar Pichai - Google7%
$713.7K Vol.6 markets

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase56%
No change40%
25 bps decrease3%
$682.2K Vol.5 markets

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5.5%10%
5.0%9%
6.0%7%
$502.1K Vol.5 markets

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

December 3113%
July 310%
April 300%
$434.9K Vol.4 markets

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.5%100%
4.6%100%
4.8%100%
$382.1K Vol.11 markets

Bank of England decision in September?

No change97%
25 bps increase3%
50+ bps increase0%
$277.2K Vol.5 markets

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.0%100%
Below 3.9%8%
Below 3.8%6%
$250.9K Vol.9 markets

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

8%
chance
$212.6K Vol.

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

GlobalFoundries99%
Rigetti98%
D-Wave97%
$184.8K Vol.20 markets

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

1m100%
1.1m100%
1.2m64%
$184.5K Vol.8 markets

3rd Largest Company end of September?

Alphabet91%
Company B50%
Company C50%
$174.1K Vol.29 markets

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

25 bps decrease98%
No Change2%
50+ bps increase0%
$143.9K Vol.5 markets

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

3.1%+81%
2.8-3.0%8%
1.0–1.2%3%
$112.5K Vol.9 markets