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Weather·climate

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

Loading chart data
$25.2K Vol.Dec 2, 2026
Fay$3.3K Vol.
46%
Gonzalo$1.6K Vol.
20%
Isaias$1.4K Vol.
12%
Hanna$805 Vol.
9%
Other$700 Vol.
9%
Edouard$4.4K Vol.
5%
Josephine$855 Vol.
5%
Kyle$798 Vol.
4%
Leah$666 Vol.
1%
Dolly$3.6K Vol.
1%
Marco$517 Vol.
1%
Paulette$595 Vol.
0%
Cristobal$2.3K Vol.
0%
Omar$545 Vol.
0%
Rene$489 Vol.
0%
Teddy$494 Vol.
0%
Vicky$521 Vol.
0%
Wilfred$544 Vol.
0%
Nana$491 Vol.
0%
Sally$557 Vol.
0%
Fay

This market uses Polymarket's neg-risk contract. Each outcome settles independently.

AmountBalance 10,000.00 BP

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This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named. All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml). This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.

Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026

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