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Weather·climate

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

Loading chart data
$992 Vol.Dec 2, 2026
Dolly$46 Vol.
30%
Wilfred$43 Vol.
27%
Nana$41 Vol.
22%
Hanna$46 Vol.
22%
Marco$84 Vol.
22%
Vicky$45 Vol.
22%
Isaias$45 Vol.
21%
Cristobal$75 Vol.
20%
Fay$42 Vol.
20%
Josephine$45 Vol.
19%
Edouard$46 Vol.
19%
Kyle$74 Vol.
17%
Sally$44 Vol.
16%
Paulette$44 Vol.
12%
Teddy$44 Vol.
9%
Other$43 Vol.
5%
Gonzalo$49 Vol.
5%
Omar$44 Vol.
5%
Leah$45 Vol.
4%
Rene$44 Vol.
4%
Dolly

This market uses Polymarket's neg-risk contract. Each outcome settles independently.

AmountBalance 10,000.00 BP

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This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named. All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml). This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.

Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026

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