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Weather·climate

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

Loading chart data
$23.0K Vol.Jan 1, 2027
1-3$3.0K Vol.
48%
0$12.1K Vol.
39%
4-6$6.2K Vol.
9%
7+$1.8K Vol.
5%
1-3

This market uses Polymarket's neg-risk contract. Each outcome settles independently.

AmountBalance 10,000.00 BP

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Related

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

14%

Presidential Election Winner 2028

24%

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

2%

This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.

Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026

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